@@@@@@@@@@@@@wait and see with cleansing mind
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21. June, 2014 My mission
JDFDKenedyC13/11/1963.@I@heard in the morning JDFDKenedy@was killed. I told my father he was killed. We lived in Ube city, Yamaguchi
Pref. I had written letters with a pen girlfriend in Austrairia. I went
to the Ube high school. After Tokyo Olympic, in Jan. 1965, my family moved
to Nagato city to leave me in Ube.
@Meanwhile, my father had known he would transport to the next branch and leave me. He drank and told me that you should be aim to contribute the world. I could not understand the reasonD
@I take the entrance exam to the Mituibusan
in 1971 and I failed it,@because I said my girlfriend in Austria, but my father had known the fact
from his friend in the Mituibusan. Then, I worked to get money to go to
Austria. He gave me the money for the travel to Austria. After the travel, I went
to the graduate school Kobe University. But I could not get the profession@in the long time but my father supported my intention. Finally,@I@had gotten my professionDAfter then, the cold war in Europe should be over. I visited before
the Second World War, the countries. And then the South-North problem should be
resolved. My father had understood my will, nothing said. Before he died, he said after the world it will be how, you need if I die.
At that time, he told me that he told him you would have a child that would
serve to the elsewhere of Japan.
22.February, 2012 Mediterranean fiscal crisis
Greese is under the EU's administration. The fiscal deficit must be cut
down for 10 years when Greese joined in the EU. It was
unhappy for Greese to held the Olympic Games, because the fiscal burden
was said for her to be very excessive.After the affiliantion
Greek economy meight have grown along the pass of the third category of
the industries, real estete housing, tourism, banking,
construction, transport. But Greese is not smoothly to connect with the
EU. Meanwhile the EU decided on the common value based
on the Christianity. On the other hand, Turkey could not join because of
the Islamism. Turkey seems to change thecooperative
direction toward the Islamic Mediterranean countries. In the future, if
the Balkan joind in the EU, the cost of transpotation
through the Balkan Peninsula would be further reduced and the economy
would grow along the pass of the second category of the industries. After
the cold war, I have been afraid that the west countries remained the earning
differentials. In the Mediterranean
the differentials are based on the histrical asset, real estate and farm
land. Some says rich people fry freely to the tax haven.
Consequently, The fiscal cut down for 10 years will make Greek people life-level
cut and back to the before 10.
@The Japanese bubble only contineued 2`3years. The last year, the people
resisted to sell or remove houses and the media
reported the criminal procedures that the Gangsters did. Therefore, there were few people who enjoy exciting. Most of he plans
were discontinued. The Englishman said to me that JULIANA'S TOKYO British discotheque was most enjoyable. The Japanese bubble
was valueless but we had lived for at least 10 years and desposed of the
bad loans and the Greek would also do.
17Di
C2011
In Japan, shock of Tumami and nuclear power stations is continueing and
Kan prime minister requested Hamaoka station stopped
operating without any alternative plan. This prime minister also decleared
he would resign after he had established any political
consequenses but not ever. In spite of the worst governance by Kan, most
of leading companies gradually recover to supply
Japanese products. Now, USA economy is walking on a landing for lack of
the new demand and Chinese also on behalf of inflation.
In the Mediteranean countries the revolutions are continuing and each price
of bond is down.
This year, the people is walking on a landing until the President election.
We might not expect the ecomomy grows up to the potential
rate. In no governance Japan develops the technology of saving and diversifing
various energy since all nuclear
power stations will stop until the next March. Mr. Kan insisted on the
society minimizing the unhappiest on the last election.
However, in fact, the unhappiest is maximized all over the world by him.
He said in his air raid shelter he was as same as Hitler in
Berlin. Prey the Arabic Revolution will establish liberty!
14DiC2011@back to Inflation
In U.S.A. and Japan are now easing money supply. From both or from U.S.A.
through Japan to emergent countries ease money
is flowing to invest resources and crops and emargent stocks. Most of the
emergent countries take the measure of tight money.
However FRB and BOJ watch CPIs are not yet reaching to the target lebel,
say, in Japan between 1% to 2%. From Japan to
the emergent large scaled companies and public service corporations directly
invest their infrastructure, and domestic companies
also directly invest to produce their goods and services in the markets
because the Japanese advanced age reduces the markets.
Hence in Japan, the investment does not recover yet. Japan still is in
deflation and from U.S.A. to Japan ease money supports the
appreciation of yen. From U.S.A. through Japan to China and Hong Kong ease
money emerges the appreciation of yuan and causes inflation and the authorities
takes the measure of tight money. Both expect to prevent defletion but
the emeregent counties prevent
Inflation. It needs more time to judge whether this process means the recovery
of the world economy.
@30DAugustC2010@@cave-in@in Chili
In Chili, the incident of cave-in occured and the 33 mine workers were
alive after 17days. Now, the persons concerned have tried to
rescue them after 4manths. They have been anxious 33 workers can be safe
and sound for the long time. I wonder whether the
earthquake induced the cave-in. The tunnel is a spiral and cars can drive
along the spiral. It is not certain whether the spot of the
cave-in is one or a lot. If the spot is one, the people may link the
safe spot with the below spiral. From both sides the situation of
the spot could be seached if the action is safe. I think the persons have
a lot of good idea and it will be shortened for the workers
to be rescued.
@@18DlC2010@@euro devaluation
After the Europian Central Bank bought bonds which the traders have been
selling during weeks, a curious response to the ECB's
decision has begun in the exchange market. The euro is devaluating, because
the menbers of the EMU decrease the government
expenditures and will suffer from the recession again. Within the EMU,
several countries should decrease the government
expenditures, cut the wages and decrease the irrational pensions but the
other proceed to the recovery. Outside the euro zone, that
is, Balkan, Danube and Baltic States, there are the bad loans owened by
the banks within the euro zone. Perhaps, this bad loans
causes the euro devaluation. However, Danube coasts States will soon proceed to the economic recovery.
@If the euro devaluates more than 50%, then the europian exports will increase
and the tourists will visits in the euro zone and
consume more luxuriously. Last year Korian W devaluated more than 50% and
the japanese tourists visited Korian and enjoyed
most luxuriously and TV makers exported TVs more than the Japaneses. We
found the Korian W competitive devaluation and changed
exports from Europe and the nouth America to the Asian and emerging countries
and the Japanese economy is recovering gradually.
But Yen didn't devaluated because the Japanese banks are sound.
@The ECB should not suffer from the competitive devaluation but promote
banks to dispose of the bad loans.
@@11DlC2010@@f
's crisis
EU decided to stabilize the European bond markets to buy Greece bonds and
other countries'. Greece entered EMU(Economic and
Monetary Union) on January 1, 2001after the Olimpic Game which compelled
the smale-scaled country the excess fiscal
expenditures. The people could not decide on the schudule to repay the
accumulated bonds. Greece breached the Maastricht Convergence Crteria that
a public debt must be 60% of the GDP.
The ESCM and IMF will recomend Greece to accept the time schedule of the
reduction of the fiscal expenditures with tha apropriate
reduction of the civil servents ane the VAT increase. IMF recomendation
in the Asian financial crisis in 1997 was hated by the
ASEAN. At that time, Mr. J. Soros have played an active speculator and
Dr.A. S. Blinder who is the head of Israel central bank was
conducted the time schedule of the restruction of the ASEAN economy. In
this European financial crisis, the speculators live
in the foward bond markets and enjoy the money game again. In the world
financial market there might exist the excess liquidity and
Greece fell victum to the speculators. I wish the feasible time-schudule
to recover the debt below 60% of the GDP. The central
banks also must take care of the excess liqiudty and should watch the supeculators
never borrow it to play the money game.
@@11DOctoberC2009@Unemployment@on the way to the economic recovery
@In Japan, the Democratic Party has been in power. After the summer was
over, the world economy is on the way to the recovery.
@The world trade in balance comes into the adjusting process. Most of the Asian countries which depended on the U.S.trade
@ deficits have taken the countercycle policy by the fiscal deficits. However,
there remains the unemployment. During the recovery
process, the new employment is needless. Most of the unemployment presently
are provided compensation. The DP will also continue the same employment
policy in 2010 as the FDP. Meanwhile the consumption expenditure will be
supported by the policy.
@ This employment environment may be the same among the countries taking the countercycle policy by the fiscal deficits.
@The new electric products substituted for fossil fuel has been developing and in the next year they will be sold. Gradually, the
new production will need the new employment but the rate of unemployment
will decrease slowly. In Japan, such a recovery process
will be expected and the related companies could invest on such new products.
In the U.S. and Europe, the recovery process might be
realized during the next year? The financial system might have still the
bad loan and securities?
@@The pain of the unempolyment will be set aside slowly and it will be
late that the companies begin to invest on the new production.
The U.S. promises to withdraw troop from Iraq in the next year but the
related unemployment in the U.S. will increase and contrarily
the fiscal deficits decrease. In the U.S. economic recovery will be slow. The prospect will disappoint the Japanese industries oriented
toward the U.S. demand. In the Middle East the new ara will begin and I
hope the peaceful order recovers there and the people are
interesting in the new energy.
@@23Di
C2009@q
@c
ocracy@o cuontries in opposition
@Recently among countries that are confronted with two parties, people
have taken the radical messures of violence on the streets.
Such countries are Myanmar, Tibet in China, Thailand and Iran. Myanmar is governed by the military and they continue to oppress the
democratic power, Tibet has extended the economic difference between the
Tibetian and the Chainese, in Thailand the former prime
minister gave the economic priority to his suppoters who live in the local
and Bangkok, and in Iran the president gave the economic
priority to his suppoters who live in the local. The authorized power
have neglected the equity among the various political and religious powers
and intended to sustain their authorized power and given the suppoters
aid or help by the tax at the election.
@When two parties have the opposite policy, the democratic messure tends
to be ineffecitve to solve the opposition and the people
demonstrate to resist against the symbol of thepower with the radical messures
of violence. This common tendency among the
countries shows the result by the vote is meaningless and the vote itself
is a ceremony to be agreed. The related countries to them
must care for the defeated without the direct intereference but as long
as the difference remains in the country, they will again take
the same demonstration against the authorized power. In this world economic crisis, politicaly stable countries cannot afford
them to
give them the direct investments by companies and the transfer by the governments.
I pray the defeated would not be less favorable
compared with the suppoters while the stable countries succeed to recover
their economy before the Lehman shock.
@@5DlC2009@American Financial Institutions are now bench warmers.
@The American Financial Insutitutions had been expanding the global financial markets
and the activities was over with the Lehman
shock. After the American housing and energy bubble was crushed by the
FRB, many Europian Financial Insutitutions have suffered
from the uncreditable financial commodities exported by the American Financial Insutitutions. The Asian coutries might have not
bought so much that the Asian Financial Insutitutions are expected that
each financial markets are recovering the financial funcition
and they are waiting for the subsutitutes of the American funds which have
withdrawed from every markets because they lost the
biggest game in this world. Once, the Japanese Financial Insutitutions had been expanding the global financial markets and any player
not meeting, after two years the Japanese bubble was crushed. In 1997,
at last, they withdrawed from the Asian fiancial markets and
they could not borrow the dollars without the Japanese premium.
@Surely, they will be back in the Asian financial markets. Meanwhile, the
sound Asian Financial Insutitutions should colaborate on the
Asian common financial middle and long term bonds markets and each country
develop the indusutries with the environmental care ,
and the telecomunication with the fiber cables network. The sound Japanese
Financial Insutitutions could seek the middle and long term finance in
the Asian countries.
@The Japanese motor vehicle makers would regret it was too late to change
their models for electric motor, becouse during
the American housing and energy bubble, they had made the regular motor
models. The USA , China and India have cared for the CO2
reduction problems and they must change the social system apropreate to
the problems. Meanwhile they arrange the domestic
complicate interest relations, we could afford with the public and private
consensas to promote the new middle and long strategies among the Asian
Free Trade Accord countries.
@@12D2D2009@too self-seeking plan
@Prime Minister Taro Aso becomes less popular. The cause is that his remedy for the Japanese recession is too weak to be appraised
by people. He has an opinion that the recession will be over until in 2012,
but the reason is not obvious. He has not any plan and idea
to recover the Japanese economy and how to administrate within three years. According to his presumption he could not dissolve
the Diet, because the recession would be worse and worse until his term
of office expired in September.
@Now@we feel no fear about the recession in a daily life. The media reports
that the short-run employees will lose their job to March.
But in Japan, the babyboomers (more than a million) retire every year,
so that the companies must employ the new comers in every
sector. At the same time the effect of cost reduction will be expected. Surely Yen is appreciated and the foreign investers escaped
from the Tokyo StockExchange Market to return to their home countries.
If every developed country all at once performs his fiscal
and monetary policies the Japanese overseas factories will recover the
products there. Mr. Aso's plan might depend on the aggregate
demand abroad.
It is
@@19D12D2008@0 rate of interest policy
@FRB@begins the 0 rate of interest policy. Before Mr. Barack Obama becomes
the President, FRB insists that using all the measures,
he stops to slow down the American economy. However the Japanese export
indusutries begin steeply to decrease the production of
the export to theUS. The Japanese government donot move to stop the decline
of producion activity without the budgetary measure.
@@The bureucray in Japan could not grasp the live situation of the economy
and observe the dynamic economic processes. The
cabinet cannot also collect the information of the world economy as he
depends on such the bueucracy's ability. As result, it was over when all
the people found it was the worst situation at the present. The policy-maker
must intend to alleviate the pain which some suffers from at the worst.
In Japan, they are exporters. Mr. Barack Obama doesnot announce the production
of the Hybrid and electric adn fuel baterry cars but only that of bio-fuel.
The Japanese government doesnot compel owners to change such cars. But
people withhold to buy the new cars and in the near future know to prefer
such ecology cars. I change for fluorescent bulbs and the makers also will
stop to produce the old. In the near future cares to export to the US should
be the Hybrid and electric adn fuel baterry cars. The American life-style
wiil change from the Hitler devices of fuel energy, atomic energy, cars,
rockets, submarines, jet airplane, color movies, military, highway. The
US regurated that the countries except friends developted such devices.
The critists about the American life-style were the enemis and comunists.
Now is the reflection time.
@@1D12D2008@A@match
@The depression is going@to be deeper in the world. Mr. Aso is a match
for Mr. Ozawa of Democratic Party. Since 2006, The Japanese government
were breaking the domestic economy with the new construction standard law,
food administration, penssion deta registration and so on. Evereytime such
a matter happened, the consumption expenditures stagnated. Japan must also
change the political decision-maiking so that the japanese economy couldnot
be disturbed by the government. Such a type of country is full in the world.
The next year an Olympic game will be held that the gavernments recover
each economy.
@@27D10D2008@a dissolution of the Diet
@s
@
@minister Taro Aso won't decide on a dissolution this year. In November, after the presidental election of the United
States is over, he has to ask the new President the Asian foreign affaires. He insisited that in this world financial crisis Japan support
that the emerging and developing countries won't be short of settlement
fund of foreign trade to supply them the Japanese dollars.
Because Japan aims to become a member of the Council of the United Nations.
On the other hand, in the American crisis, the
Japanese companies have experienced a severe decline of sales and the effect
on the exports will bring the same recession.
s
@
@minister Aso could only recommend that the American government proceeds to clear contracts of the subprime loans
which have still scattered all over the world, Japan will help the related
countries to found an international clearing house of the
American bad loans.
@Because of these reasons, he could not dissolve until the Japanes economy
absorbs the American shock. Japanese companies and
Jetro and ADB should promote to let the emerging and developing countries
grow up again and decouple with the American economy.
@@7D10D2008@the Mekong River Basin@Projects
@In September, I visited Chiang Mai in Thailand. On the Collaboration of the Mekong River Basin, I have already done T.
P. H`ô Chí
Minh and My~ Tho, Vietnam,Vientiane, Luang Phabang and Namgum Dam k@ocq.
I think that any development program should
take care of clean energy and preservation of the environment. In this
point of view, the Mekong River Basin needs railway net rather
than Asian highway from Vietnam to Myanmar. The railway nets have been
established from Hanoi toT. P. H`ô Chí Minh in Vietnam
and from Bangkok to Chiang Mai in Thailand and so on. However,both countries
the railways are not electrified and there is no line
along the Mekong River.Therefore, it is possible to construct electric railways from Vientiane to H`ô Chí Minh and from Danang
through Vientiane to Chiang Mai. Because the Mekong River is not appropriate
for water transportation and the electric energy can be
provided by water power in k@ocq and LNG power in H`ô Chí
Minh. If a railway between Yangon and Chiang Mai is connected, the
regional development will smoothly proceed with rich resources and labour
power. I think that in the poorest countries, the resourses
should be consumed at first for the their own social development. However,
in Afirica, the principle of' the output from the region is
consumed or used there' is effective on the reagional growth. Industrialized
countries should cease to exchange military and food aid
for resouces in the poorest countries but promote to set up the new industries
there.